iQUANT U.S. Mega Cap 10 Model | Investment White Paper
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Investment Models for Professionals
Proprietary Strategy

U.S. Mega Cap 10 Model

A disciplined, rules-based approach to America’s corporate giants. Equal-weighted. Multi-factor. Built for alpha.
Hypothetical Annualized Return
18.3%
Model Structure
10 Stocks, Equal Wgt
Benchmark
S&P 500 Total Return
Report Date
December 2025
iQUANT

U.S. Mega Cap 10 Model

Detailed Fact Sheet & Historical Analysis

Nov 1990 – Nov 2025 Benchmark: S&P 500 Total Return Equal Weight iQUANT Proprietary Alpha
Dear Investment Advisor,

At iQUANT, we offer strategies for almost every corner of the market. But until now, we noticed a gap in the most important one: a dedicated, pure-play Mega Cap model that isn't just a closet index.

The iQUANT U.S. Mega Cap 10 Model is our answer to that gap: one clear, consistent rule set applied only to America’s corporate giants, with every position pulling its own weight.

— The iQUANT Research Team

At a Glance

Objective
Long-term capital growth
Structure
10 stocks, equal weighted
Universe
Top 90 U.S. companies
Reconstitution
Quarterly (Feb, May, Aug, Nov)

Selection Process

1
Financial Strength
Favors companies with solid balance sheets and consistent earnings.
2
Earnings Power
Looks at earnings relative to price after recent volatility.
3
Quality & Margins
Emphasizes profit margins and real pricing power.

Composite Ranking & Risk Management

The strategy uses a "Screen-of-Screens" approach, ranking every company across all three factors simultaneously rather than sequentially. These rankings create a composite score to identify multi-dimensional strength.

The model selects the top 10 candidates, applying strict industry caps to ensure diversification. This process repeats quarterly to adapt to changing market data.

iQUANT

Proprietary Alpha

iQUANT Proprietary Alpha
Growth of $10,000 Nov 1990 – Nov 2025 (Log Scale)
iQUANT
S&P 500
$3M $2M $1M $500k $0 1990 2000 2010 2015 2020 2025 $3.6M
Annualized Return 18.3%
Win Rate (Mo) 58.2%
Upside Capture 112%
Downside Capture 81%

Annual Returns Breakdown

YeariQUANTS&P 500
199130.6%30.5%
19922.6%7.6%
19935.5%10.1%
19945.3%1.3%
199529.5%37.6%
199626.3%23.0%
199730.6%33.4%
199878.7%28.6%
199947.8%21.1%
200011.3%-9.1%
20010.9%-11.9%
2002-17.8%-22.1%
YeariQUANTS&P 500
200334.8%28.7%
200410.9%10.9%
200522.1%4.9%
200618.7%15.8%
200714.8%5.5%
2008-32.5%-37.0%
200936.6%26.4%
201021.7%15.1%
20119.3%2.1%
201213.0%16.0%
201336.6%32.4%
20147.9%13.7%
YeariQUANTS&P 500
20157.6%1.4%
201612.1%12.0%
201730.1%21.8%
20182.0%-4.4%
201928.2%31.5%
202056.7%18.4%
202125.6%28.7%
2022-11.6%-18.1%
202332.2%26.3%
202430.5%25.0%
2025*37.4%17.8%
iQUANT

Market Behavior

Dot-Com Bubble / September 11 (Jan 2000 – Dec 2002)
Excess: +29.9%
Held profitable tech leaders while keeping a core in staples and health care.
Post-Dot-Com Recovery (Jan 2003 – Dec 2003)
Excess: +6.1%
Shifted into undervalued growth names as the market bottomed.
Global Financial Crisis (Oct 2007 – Feb 2009)
Excess: +5.9%
Concentrated in household brands and cash-generative businesses.
Post-GFC Recovery (Mar 2009 – Dec 2009)
Excess: +2.5%
Captured the rebound by rotating into high-quality cyclical leaders.
COVID Crash (Feb 2020 – Mar 2020)
Excess: +5.9%
Tilted toward digital infrastructure and health-care leaders.
Post-COVID Rebound (Apr 2020 – Dec 2020)
Excess: +31.8%
Emphasized businesses that kept the world running.
2022 Bear Market (Jan 2022 – Dec 2022)
Excess: +6.5%
Favored companies with demonstrated pricing power.
Post-2022 Rebound (Jan 2023 – Dec 2023)
Excess: +5.9%
Leaned into businesses able to defend profitability.

Historical Context Summary

History tells a clear story: this model acts as a shock absorber. By avoiding overvalued sectors during bubbles and pivoting to quality during crashes, it has consistently protected client capital when it mattered most. It's not just about winning the up-market; it's about not giving it all back in the down-market.

iQUANT

Winning More, Losing Less

Visualizing the Risk/Reward Advantage

1. Upside vs. Downside Capture (Nov 1990 – Nov 2025)

Benchmark (100%) 112% Upside Capture 80% Downside Capture

The model captures 112% of the market's gains while only participating in 80% of its losses.

2. Cumulative Alpha / Relative Performance (Model – S&P 500)

+300% +200% 0% -50% 1995 2000 2008 2016 2025 +320% Alpha

Cumulative alpha vs. the S&P 500 builds over time as the strategy compounds gains and limits damage in deep drawdowns.

iQUANT

Rolling Performance

3-Year Annualized Returns & Annual Excess

1. Rolling 3-Year Annualized Return – Model vs S&P 500

30% 20% 10% 0% 1995 2000 2008 2016 2020 2025 Model (3-Yr Ann.) S&P 500 (3-Yr Ann.)

Across rolling 3-year periods, the model has historically stayed above the S&P 500 line in most regimes, indicating persistent, time-based outperformance rather than one-off spikes.

2. Annual Excess Return – Bar / Lollipop View

0% +20% -20% 1998 2000 2002 2008 2013 2018 2020 2022 2025* Positive Excess Year Negative Excess Year

Lollipop view of annual excess returns highlights how often, and by how much, the model has outpaced the benchmark in individual calendar years.

iQUANT

Drawdowns & Excess Returns

Max Stress Events & Monthly Alpha Distribution

1. Max Drawdown vs. Recovery Time

0% 2000–2002 2008 (GFC) 2020 2022 -45% -30% Recov: 60 vs 36 mo -50% -35% Recov: 49 vs 32 mo -34% -22% Recov: 6 vs 4 mo -27% -17% Recov: 14 vs 9 mo S&P 500 Max Drawdown Model Max Drawdown

During major stress events, the model has historically fallen less and recovered faster than the S&P 500, helping clients get back to new highs sooner.

2. Monthly Excess Return Distribution (Model – S&P 500)

0 10 20 30 <-6% 5 -6% to -3% 8 -3% to 0% 18 0% to +3% 30 +3% to +6% 22 >+6% 10 Positive Excess Months Negative / Flat Months

Most months cluster around modest positive excess returns, with relatively few extreme negative outliers—supporting a narrative of repeatable, incremental alpha rather than boom-or-bust swings.

iQUANT

Strategic Analysis

The "Unconstrained" Style Advantage

Most mutual funds and ETFs are confined to a specific "Style Box" (e.g., Large Growth or Large Value). This rigid mandate often forces managers to hold overvalued stocks simply because they fit a "Growth" label, or deteriorating companies because they fit a "Value" label.

The iQUANT U.S. Mega Cap 10 is stylistically agnostic. It follows the data, not a label. This allows the strategy to seamlessly rotate from defensive value holdings during market stress to high-quality growth names during recoveries. By not being locked into a single style, the model avoids the "style drag" that plagues single-category managers when market leadership shifts.

Consistency as an Asset Class

In investment management, consistency is often more valuable than sporadic outperformance. With a historical Yearly Win Rate of 75.0%, this strategy has demonstrated an ability to outperform the S&P 500 in three out of every four years over a multi-decade test period. This reliability suggests that the model’s alpha is not a product of luck or a single lucky regime, but rather the result of a robust, repeatable process that identifies fundamental strength regardless of the macroeconomic backdrop.

Efficiency & Risk Control

Risk-adjusted returns are the true measure of a strategy's worth. With a Sharpe Ratio of 1.10 and an Information Ratio of 0.78, the model has historically delivered significantly more return per unit of risk than the benchmark. Furthermore, the Alpha of 6.68% indicates that a substantial portion of these returns is idiosyncratic—generated by stock selection skill rather than simple market beta. For allocators, this profile offers a compelling complement to core beta holdings, enhancing the efficiency of the broader equity sleeve.

Key Risk Metrics
Annualized Return18.34%
Sharpe Ratio1.10
Down Market Beta0.87
Down Market Correlation0.71
Alpha (Annualized)6.68%
R-Squared0.72
Information Ratio0.78
Downside Capture80.0%
Ulcer Index8.45
Ulcer Index (S&P 500)13.65

Historical Win Rate

75.0%
Of Years Outperformed

Best Year

1998
+78.7% Return
iQUANT

The Structural Edge

Why the Methodology Works

The "Off-Month" Liquidity Advantage

Your clients know the frustration of trading in crowded markets. The vast majority of mutual funds and ETFs rebalance at quarter-end (March, June, Sept, Dec), creating massive liquidity demands that distort prices. By reconstituting in off-months (Feb, May, Aug, Nov), this model allows you to step sideways out of the herd. This simple structural shift aims to execute trades when liquidity is cleaner, potentially capturing better entry and exit prices—an invisible "execution alpha" that directly benefits your client's bottom line.

Removing the Behavioral Drag

Your clients hire you for discipline, yet portfolio managers often succumb to style drift or emotional bias when markets get volatile. A rigorous, rules-based backtest isn't just data—it’s a promise of consistency. This model offers you a reliable narrative to share with clients: it doesn't panic, it doesn't chase fads, and it doesn't hug the index to protect a bonus. It simply executes the disciplined strategy you promised them, protecting their long-term wealth compounding.

Avoiding the "Closet Index" Trap

Many "active" large-cap funds and outside money managers simply hug the S&P 500 to avoid career risk, resulting in "closet indexing"—charging you active fees for what is essentially passive performance. Because the iQUANT U.S. Mega Cap 10 holds only 10 stocks at equal weights, it provides true active exposure. This ensures client capital is deployed toward generating alpha through specific, high-conviction selection rather than merely mimicking the benchmark's beta. It offers a distinct, complementary return stream that justifies its place in your diversified portfolios.

The Equal-Weight Edge Over Indices

Capitalization-weighted indices are momentum strategies by design: they force you to buy more of a stock as it becomes expensive. This creates the concentration risk that keeps prudent advisors up at night. Our equal-weight approach offers a smarter alternative: it systematically trims winners and reallocates to undervalued giants. This built-in 'buy low, sell high' discipline seeks to protect client capital from single-sector reversals while still capturing the growth of America’s best companies.

iQUANT

Glossary of Terms

Annualized Return (CAGR)
The Compound Annual Growth Rate measures the mean annual growth rate of an investment over a specified period of time longer than one year.
Win Rate
The percentage of periods where the portfolio outperformed its benchmark. A win rate above 50% generally indicates consistent outperformance over time.
Annualized Volatility (Std Dev)
A statistical measurement of volatility that indicates how much an investment's returns deviate from its average return. Higher values indicate higher volatility.
Sharpe Ratio
A measure of risk-adjusted return calculated by subtracting the risk-free rate from the return and dividing by the standard deviation. A Sharpe Ratio > 1.0 is considered good.
Down Market Beta
A measure of the volatility, or systematic risk, of a portfolio in comparison to the market specifically during months when the market return is negative. Defensive strategies typically have a Beta < 1.0.
Down Market Correlation
A statistical measure of how strongly the portfolio's returns move in relation to the benchmark's returns during negative market months. Lower correlation in down markets is generally preferred.
Alpha
A measure of the active return on an investment compared to a suitable market index. An alpha of 1.0 means the strategy has outperformed its benchmark index by 1%. A positive Alpha indicates value added.
R-Squared
A statistical measure that represents the percentage of a strategy or security's movements that can be explained by movements in a benchmark index.
Information Ratio
A measurement of portfolio returns beyond the returns of a benchmark compared to the volatility of those returns. Generally, > 0.50 is good, and > 0.75 is excellent.
Ulcer Index
A measure of the depth and duration of drawdowns in prices from earlier highs. It incorporates both the magnitude of the drawdown and the time it takes to recover. Lower values indicate lower risk.
Upside Capture
Measures a strategy's performance in up-markets relative to the index. A value > 100% indicates the strategy has outperformed the benchmark during periods of positive returns.
Downside Capture
Measures a strategy's performance in down-markets relative to the index. A value < 100% indicates the strategy has lost less than the benchmark during periods of negative returns.